For a decade or more, restructuring professionals have predicted the coming of a bankruptcy boom. This may be the year those predictions finally come true. Inflation, interest rates, supply chain issues, global conflict and domestic politics have created a challenging macro environment. At the same time, dry powder abounds, with new distressed debt funds cropping up daily. Will this result in a bankruptcy tidal wave, or an increase in workouts and distressed M&A? Perhaps all of the above.
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Is the tidal wave approaching?
“I think we’re at the point where if you’re a company that’s on the edge, and one or two factors come down, it’s not enough to move the needle—there are too many needles,” says SierraConstellation’s Perkins.
As lenders and borrowers try to get creative in working through ongoing distress in the real estate market, especially in certain asset...